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Hermine to Bring Gusty Winds and Dangerous Storm Surge Sunday into Next Week

Jackson Dill
Sep 2, 2016
1 min read

We continue to monitor Tropical Storm Hermine, which is currently moving inland over the Southeast.

As this storm moves further north and east over the Southeast region of the U.S., this storm will then move over the Atlantic Ocean off the Northeast coast Saturday. Once Hermine moves back over the ocean, it is likely to restrengthen and regain tropical characteristics, which it lost while over land.

Sea surface temperatures are two to four degrees above average right now, which will help with tropical development. Also, atmospheric conditions should be pretty favorable with low wind shear.

Because of these conducive ingredients, Hermine is likely to re-strengthen back to a tropical storm and eventually perhaps a hurricane south of Long Island and east of New Jersey.

What We Know:

Tropical storm force winds are expected at the Jersey, Delaware, New York, and Connecticut coasts:

Beach erosion is likely along the coast from Delaware to Connecticut.
Large waves up to 20 feet possible at the coast; 35 foot waves offshore:

A major two to four foot storm surge is possible along the coast, where Storm Surge Watches have been issued:

Showers and gusty winds are likely at least along the coast, including our area:

What's Uncertain:

It's still unsure whether this storm will remain offshore of will make landfall somewhere on Southern New England. Most of the models keep this strong system safely offshore, but a few of the ensemble members of the European model bring this storm onshore.